Deal sourcing guide for Growth Equity 2024

Three best practices for today’s market

Growth equity’s moment is here

In what will be remembered as a tough year for deal sourcing, funding across private capital as a whole declined in 2023.

But looking at late-stage and growth funding in isolation reveals a different picture. Here, the industry posted growth of 10% year over year—and 30% from the second to the third quarter of 2023. According to Crunchbase, late-stage funding comprised $43 billion of the $73 billion total invested in Q3 2023.

When looked at within the context of private equity, the share of growth equity deal value grew 2.8% in 2023, up to a high of 12.7%. Pitchbook attributes this to “the obvious advantages of not relying on leverage whatsoever and a historic focus on high-growth and high-profitability companies.”

Indeed, large fundings in headline industries like AI, semiconductors, and sustainability helped to lift this figure. But it does point to a broader reality: many of the most viable startups held off fundraising in the low valuation market of 2022-2023, and will soon need to secure additional capital. This sets the stage for growth equity to see a healthy continuation of dealmaking volumes in 2024.

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We encourage companies that want to IPO to remember that, at the end of the day, if they need liquidity, there are other options. If they need financing, there are other options. We're seeing more companies looking at things like debt, convertibles, secondary opportunities, tender offers, etc. They're all available options.

Jonah Surkes
Private Equity Investor
Generation Investment Management
source

Sentiment is high among dealmakers, with 89% of professionals that Affinity surveyed expecting to do the same or more deals compared to 2023. While the market continues to shift—promises of future rate cuts are monitored as closely as monthly inflation figures—it’s fair to say that investors have reason to feel bullish.

Growth equity firms face a longer runway when it comes to securing the right deals. Top firms are using this time to conduct more thorough research to identify deals earlier, nurture founders who delayed their next round, and focus on deals that align most to their thesis. To do all of these well requires a balance between data, technology, and relationships—the three best practices covered in this guide.

Use data-driven insights to guide sourcing decisions

Deal sourcing guide for Growth Equity 2024
chapter 01

Today, only 1% of private capital firms fit the data-driven VC’s definition of a data-driven investor. This is defined by:

  • The presence of at least one engineer on the team
  • The development of internal tooling that uses data to improve at least one element of the deal process

But the vast majority, 84%, want to increase efforts and resources in this area. Engineering and analysis is now a core function in many funds—today you’ll find more than 250 VC and Private Equity engineering job postings on LinkedIn—something that was practically nonexistent ten years ago. 

The challenge is where to begin, and whether to build from scratch or bring in tools. Co-Founder and CEO at Affinity, Ray Zhou, advises firms to start small and scale, saying: “With your data needs defined, you can be proactive about sourcing datasets that cover those signals and attributes and experimenting with that data using tools that are widely available. The flexibility of building data-driven initiatives means that you can start small and then iterate on what works well.”

Now is the time to get ahead by establishing strong datasets that focus on high impact areas like deal sourcing.

Source: Affinity’s 2024 predictions report
Deal sourcing guide for Growth Equity 2024
chapter 01

Becoming a data-driven investor

In growth equity, a data-driven sourcing strategy balances your instincts and experience as an investor with insights from data that enable you to make educated decisions as fast and efficiently as possible. The first step is determining which signals matter to your thesis and why.

Take early deal evaluation. To better understand if a deal is a good fit, signals like current full time employee (FTE) headcount, headcount growth, revenue growth rate, funding stage, and founder background are crucial.

For opportunities that had previously been put on hold, the relevant signals will differ. Information around leadership departures and hires, headcount trends, and changes in total addressable market (TAM) start to matter more.

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We’re working with a developer to build prototypes of different AI tools for us. That includes chatbots that we can talk to as if they're investment analysts about our research, and predictive models that take in data from the investments we've made in the past (and companies we've looked at) to spot trends around what kind of indicators of growth might be most valuable in this environment.

Jonah Surkes
Private Equity Investor
Generation Investment Management
source

One often overlooked source of data lies in what your firm already owns but may not be utilizing effectively—namely, contact and activity information that is stuck in emails, calendars, and meetings.

Being able to view and analyze these insights in one place helps bring additional context and deal signals into focus that would otherwise remain buried across disconnected datasets. Having an integrated AI-driven notetaker adds additional value by reducing the effort required to capture and centralize meeting notes alongside other sources of deal data. From there, you can observe patterns and bring in signals from less traditional sources that will help to strengthen the quality of the opportunities you source.

Deal sourcing guide for Growth Equity 2024
chapter 01

Affinity lives at the heart of the data-driven investor’s tech stack

Our automatic data capture ensures your CRM data is complete and up to date without the need for manual data entry. This saves more than 200 hours per dealmaker each year, time that can be reallocated to sourcing high quality deals.

Enriched data in Affinity provides additional insights at your fingertips, with organizational data like funding, firmographic and growth data; or people data like biographic and experience data included within CRM records to make data-driven decisions faster.

Use our API to centralize all of your data in one place, either by pulling Affinity's relationship insights into other tools or pulling data from other tools into Affinity.

Manage deals efficiently everywhere you work

Deal sourcing guide for Growth Equity 2024
chapter 02

A complete deal management workflow spans multiple tools. Many associates spend all day moving between their web browser, virtual meeting window, CRM, and data vendors like Crunchbase, Preqin, and LinkedIn. Then there are internal messaging tools and email inbox. The list goes on. 

Source: Affinity's 2024 predictions report

As the pool of viable deals has shrunk in the past year, the market has become more competitive. At the same time, the amount of time firms spend researching each deal has risen by 29%. To remain competitive you need to master being both thorough and fast. Workflow consolidation and having your deal and contact data in the tools you use every day.

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We can't forget the curated data that comes out of the brains of our peers is really valuable and we need to capture that back into our CRM so the whole team can utilize it.

Brian Smiga
Partner and Co-Founder
Alpha Partners
source

Making outreach more effective

Having data available where you work helps you make educated decisions faster without disrupting your workflow; it also enables you to be more relevant with the content of your outreach. With key information like employee growth, funding history, and firmographic data, you can understand and communicate each deal opportunity more deeply.

In addition, being able to cross-reference a wide net of external data sources and conversations with similar companies your team has invested in makes your firm’s value more compelling. It takes less time to generate hyper-personalized insights that confirm to prospects that you’ve done your due diligence, understand their mission, and can offer unique support in the form of industry and/or operating expertise.

The power of extensions

Our extensions unlock the ability for you to capture insights in the flow of work, and access enriched data about companies outside of your network from anywhere—such as when reading a referral email or visiting a prospect’s website.

Affinity Pathfinder, built for Chrome and Gmail, dramatically reduces the time it takes to find the right deal with relationship intelligence, business insights, and a connection to your CRM as you research and engage prospects. With features like one-click updates to deals, there’s no need to make changes to your current process, or to constantly switch back and forth between tools to get value out of the CRM.

Nurture prospective deals with AI and relationship intelligence

Deal sourcing guide for Growth Equity 2024
chapter 03

There is an appetite to use AI across private capital, with 84% of respondents in a recent Affinity survey saying they have some plans to adopt it this year. Of those that already have, another study reported in Venture Capital Journal suggested that private equity firms lead the way with 33% adoption compared to only 19% adoption in venture capital.

Across all segments of private capital, using AI for productivity (62%) and to research companies of potential interest (55%) are the most popular use cases. Driving productivity gains—including within deal research—indicates that firms are focused on making their deal sourcing efforts more efficient. Pairing AI with relationship intelligence can help firms reach that next level of efficient productivity, allowing them to effectively find and close the highest quality deals before their competitors do.

Keeping relationships warm

Relationship intelligence uses AI-driven algorithms to ingest and analyze firmwide communication data, giving firms an up-to-date view into the strength of every relationship within the network. With this, firms can understand (and act on) their team’s entire network at a glance.

This level of visibility uncovers warm paths of introduction that would otherwise have been obscured. Booking initial meetings is easier, and investors can go in confidently with the context they need to make an impact.

In situations where a deal might not be forthcoming, relationship intelligence helps firms maintain relationships with investment bankers—or stay top of mind with founders as they warm to the idea of taking private investment. Triggers and automations alert team members when it comes to the optimal time for follow up, allowing them to take proactive action that positively impacts longer-term deal sourcing.

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I think private equity, investment banking, and venture capital are very much relationship businesses… and, I think without Affinity, new associates and analysts have a much longer learning curve, and it takes them much longer to build a book of relationships.

Brian Smiga
Partner and Co-Founder
Alpha Partners
source

Relationship intelligence also helps firms understand their most valuable relationships. Do you have a founder or fellow investor who has helped source valuable deals in the past? Actively nurture them with the help of automated follow up reminders, real-time relationship strength scores, and an easy and secure way to share live data on target lists.

Relationship intelligence turns your network into a dealmaking machine

Our relationship intelligence uses your firm’s entire collective network (including inferred connections identified through shared work experiences) to surface undiscovered connections and provide warm introduction paths within target companies. With this process automated, your team has higher quality insights—and more time—to focus on opportunities that fit your firm’s investment thesis, and close those deals faster.

For deals that develop over time, automated reminders and triggers make it easy to act on relationship strength changes and maintain your most valuable connections for when new deal opportunities arise.

Deal sourcing guide for Growth Equity 2024
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Combine data and relationships to source high-quality deals this year

The trajectory for growth equity in 2024 looks promising. Firms have proven their ability to thrive in challenging market conditions and with record volumes of dry powder still to deploy (up 9.3% to $955.7 billion in the past two years) combined with expected rate cuts, the future looks bright.

But regardless of external factors, what remains true is that the most successful firms are focused on refining how they use data and relationships.

They’re using data in more meaningful ways to navigate the research and diligence processes faster. This means they can prospect key contacts, keep relationships warm, and close the best deals before their competitors do. 

Set yourself up for success by automating what you can and acting on the data you collect. This will give you the time and insight to dedicate to the activities that deliver the highest ROI: building new relationships and strengthening existing ones. 

Affinity enables your firm to collect and analyze data at scale, work more efficiently and without context-switching, and use AI and relationship intelligence in deal sourcing efforts. That combination gives you a powerful competitive advantage.

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Affinity has allowed us to be proactive. Now we're now able to see around corners a lot more, whether it be someone's meeting with somebody next week, or that, someone's flagged a company I need to unlock, and someone else on my team knows somebody on the board. These are all things that are automated, and have made the productivity of our team a lot better.

Jonah Surkes
Private Equity Investor
Generation IM
source

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